Pre-tourney Rankings
Summit League
2014-15


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
111 South Dakota St. 0.0%   21 - 10 12 - 4 21 - 10 12 - 4 +3.7      +1.8 111 +1.8 111 68.6 114 +1.9 140 +2.4 2
165 North Dakota St. 100.0%   15   21 - 9 12 - 4 21 - 9 12 - 4 -0.2      -0.1 165 -0.1 165 58.6 331 +2.7 130 +3.0 1
184 Purdue Fort Wayne 0.0%   13 - 14 9 - 7 13 - 14 9 - 7 -1.3      -0.6 184 -0.6 184 65.8 179 -2.8 217 -2.0 5
215 Oral Roberts 0.0%   16 - 14 10 - 6 16 - 14 10 - 6 -2.5      -1.3 215 -1.3 215 67.6 137 -0.4 167 -0.2 3
220 Denver 0.0%   12 - 18 6 - 10 12 - 18 6 - 10 -3.1      -1.6 220 -1.6 220 52.0 350 -5.1 250 -6.5 7
221 South Dakota 0.0%   15 - 16 9 - 7 15 - 16 9 - 7 -3.1      -1.6 221 -1.6 221 67.5 141 -2.5 208 -1.8 4
263 Nebraska Omaha 0.0%   11 - 17 5 - 11 11 - 17 5 - 11 -5.5      -2.8 263 -2.8 263 88.1 3 -6.5 282 -7.9 8
286 IUPUI 0.0%   10 - 21 6 - 10 10 - 21 6 - 10 -6.7      -3.4 286 -3.4 286 64.2 234 -5.7 263 -6.0 6
324 Western Illinois 0.0%   6 - 20 3 - 13 6 - 20 3 - 13 -11.3      -5.7 324 -5.7 324 70.6 74 -9.5 311 -10.9 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
South Dakota St. 1.0 100.0
North Dakota St. 1.0 100.0
Purdue Fort Wayne 4.0 100.0
Oral Roberts 3.0 100.0
Denver 6.0 100.0
South Dakota 4.0 100.0
Nebraska Omaha 8.0 100.0
IUPUI 6.0 100.0
Western Illinois 9.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
South Dakota St. 12 - 4 100.0
North Dakota St. 12 - 4 100.0
Purdue Fort Wayne 9 - 7 100.0
Oral Roberts 10 - 6 100.0
Denver 6 - 10 100.0
South Dakota 9 - 7 100.0
Nebraska Omaha 5 - 11 100.0
IUPUI 6 - 10 100.0
Western Illinois 3 - 13 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
South Dakota St. 100.0% 100.0
North Dakota St. 100.0% 100.0
Purdue Fort Wayne
Oral Roberts
Denver
South Dakota
Nebraska Omaha
IUPUI
Western Illinois


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
South Dakota St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
North Dakota St. 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15   0.5 17.8 69.7 11.9
Purdue Fort Wayne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Oral Roberts 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Denver 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
South Dakota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Nebraska Omaha 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
IUPUI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Western Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
South Dakota St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Dakota St. 100.0% 0.4% 99.8% 3.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oral Roberts 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Denver 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Dakota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nebraska Omaha 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
IUPUI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 99.8% 1.0 0.2 99.8
2nd Round 3.4% 0.0 96.7 3.4
Sweet Sixteen 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0